viernes, 22 de septiembre de 2017

THE LOGIC IRRATIONALITY






We've been reading articles about the "acoustic" attacks on our diplomats in Havana. Reports are far from accurate and the administration account of the events is murky and vague. We know several of our folks in Cuba have suffered from loss of memory and permanent hearing damages and to make things even worse it seems that the Canadians sustained some damage of their own. The attacks occurred mostly under the Obama administration and we know that the comrade president would have done anything to salvage his "legacy"; but in all fairness the attacks continued under the Trump administration and the State Department seems at a loss on this one. When it comes to the Havana Junta for one reason or another both parties tread very cautiously. We could give both administrations the benefit of the doubt since Raul Castro went out of his way to deny any involvement in this nth episode of friction between the two governments. The Cuban chief thug reportedly gave our charge d'affaires assurances that he was not aware of any attacks. 

So we are left with three possibilities:
1- A third party used Cuba as a theater for some sick experiment knowing that sooner or later the Americans would find out. 
2- A rogue faction of the Cuban bureaucracy aimed at boycotting the resent rapprochement between the US and the Havana Junta. This could have a precedent in the capture of the Cuban ship full of used weapons directed to North Korea in the Panama Canal while the previous administration and Castro were frantically and secretly negotiating the re-establishment of diplomatic relations. That looked more like someone snitching from within the island than the result of our zealous intelligence work. 
3- The regime carried out some intelligence experiment gone south. 

Some may challenge the logic of Castro risking a breather in order to perform some stupid initiative. But we cannot judge the totalitarian regimes using "our" logic, our values and our interests. They come from a different perspective and will not necessarily react as we would; if they responded to our same logic dictatorships wouldn't exist in the first place.

My humble opinion: the regime is not as monolithic as we give them credit for; there might well be two or more factions sharp elbowing one another and comrade Raul may be much lonelier than we think. 

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